The U.S. yield curve has inverted (at least the 10-year Treasury yield to either the 3-month T-bill or the Fed funds rate) and captured the full attention of investors. Rightly so, since a yield curve inversion has historically been an excellent indicator of a pending recession. However, a condition that has always existed in the post-war era when the yield curve has inverted is absent today.
Mar
28
2019
Has The Yield Curve Been TRUMPed?
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About The Author
![James Paulsen / Chief Investment Strategist](https://leuthold.imgix.net/leutholdgroup.com/site_files/authors/DSC_2988_LR_Jim.jpg?h=150&w=150&fit=crop&fp-y=.15)