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Major Trend Index

Oct 15 2019

Momentum Reverses Losses Of Prior Week

  • Oct 15, 2019

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Oct 08 2019
Oct 05 2019

MTI Stable, But Still Negative

  • Oct 5, 2019

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Oct 01 2019
Sep 24 2019
Sep 17 2019

MTI: Broad Rally Lifted Momentum Inputs

  • Sep 17, 2019

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Sep 10 2019

MTI: Cyclical Market Risks Remain High

  • Sep 10, 2019

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Sep 07 2019

MTI Stable, But Still Negative

  • Sep 7, 2019

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Sep 04 2019
Aug 27 2019

MTI: Same Old Song

  • Aug 27, 2019

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Aug 20 2019
Aug 14 2019

MTI: Momentum Smacked Again

  • Aug 14, 2019

The hits to the Momentum category were broad-based; the Advance/Decline work continues to disguise a very dangerous, underlying bifurcation of the market.

Aug 07 2019

MTI Stable, But Still Negative

  • Aug 7, 2019

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Aug 06 2019

MTI: Momentum Takes A Hit

  • Aug 6, 2019

The Momentum category lost ground in the latest calculation, with more than three-quarters of the loss reflecting a flip in one of our “long-term” momentum sub-models from 50% bullish in the prior week, to maximum bearish at Friday’s close.

Jul 30 2019

MTI: Economic Factors Lifted By Monetary Measures

  • Jul 30, 2019

Growth in M1 and M2 money supply has picked up, offsetting the bearish readings for Adjusted Reserves and the Fed balance sheet. Momentum category also strengthened.

Jul 23 2019

MTI: Momentum Improved Despite Modest Market Losses

  • Jul 23, 2019

The Momentum category improved despite last week’s modest market losses, with some of the longer-term trend work improving. Daily and weekly 52-week lows for the NASDAQ remain elevated, reflecting the increasing concentration of strength in Technology stocks.

Jul 16 2019

MTI: Upside Surprises/Depressed Expectations

  • Jul 16, 2019

We think that the economic surprises, as well as the yield uptick, reflect an unwind of extremely one-sided positioning rather than an indication of a second-half economic rebound.

Jul 09 2019

MTI: Attitudinal Measures Erode On Investor Enthusiasm

  • Jul 9, 2019

The Momentum category continues to grind higher, but this push has predictably stirred up investor enthusiasm (as measured this week by an identical decline in our Attitudinal composite). At the same time, longer-term measures like CEO Confidence, Small Business Optimism, and Consumer Confidence have all weakened in the latest reports, suggesting a rollover in animal spirits could be underway.

Jul 04 2019

MTI Still Negative; Stay Defensive

  • Jul 4, 2019

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Jul 03 2019

MTI: NOPE Index Boosts Economic Category

  • Jul 3, 2019

The bounce in the Economic category interrupted its last few months’ steady grind lower; the increase was led mostly by an upgrade to the NOPE Index (ISM New Orders Minus Price Index), which moved from high neutral to moderately bullish. The action of individual components is hardly reassuring, however.

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