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May 07 2026

Estimating the Downside - May 2026

  • May 7, 2026

The S&P 500 rocketed higher in April, posting its first double-digit monthly gain since November 2020. Based on data from 1957 to date, downside to median levels is now -44%.

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About The Author

Phil Segner / Sr. Research Analyst & Co-Portfolio Manager

Phil Segner Sr. Research Analyst & Co-Portfolio Manager

Phil is a Co-Portfolio Manager and Sr. Research Analyst at The Leuthold Group, LLC. He is a member of the asset allocation and investment committees and is a major contributor to the firm's research publications.

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